Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks & prediction
The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of BetMGM Sportsbook around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
San Francisco won the first game of the series on Friday 5-3 with C Curt Casali fill in well for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.
Season streak: Giants lead 3-2.
LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s planned starter. Lester is 2-3 with 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB / 9 and 6.1 K / 9 with 13 starts.
- Last game: No decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 win in San Diego Padres on Monday.
- vs. Giants in the current squad: 161 at-bats with a .242 / .313 / .447 slashline, 42/14 K / BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.
RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB / 9 and 8.3 K / 9 this year.
- Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K on Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- vs. Nationals in the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239 / .288 / .377 slash line, 39/9 K / BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.
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Nationals at Giants odds, lines, tips and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $ 100 to win $ 165) | Giants -200 (bet $ 200 to win $ 100)
- Against spread / ATS: National +1.5 (-115) | Giant -1.5 (-105)
- Over under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
forecast
Giants 6, Nationals 2
Money line (ML)
If you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers, you’ll find that he’s much better off than his base numbers suggest, and he’s due for a solid home breakout.
For example, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB%, and Home Run per nine innings are all better in San Francisco.
However, DeSclafani’s .289 BAbip at home (0.212 BAbip on the go) and 62.1% of the link at home (91.1% LOB% on the go) show that he was simply unlucky in San Francisco.
The opposite is the case with Lester’s home / street splits, as his pitching periphery is much worse away than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus -1K-BB%.
What I’m getting at is this GIANTS (-200) is a fair price I would bet 1 piece on. If your standard unit is $ 100 I’d bet it GIANTS (-200) to hopefully make a profit of $ 50.
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Tread Line / Against the Spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the GIANT -1.5 (-105) for half a unit because we’re paying a pretty high price for the San Francisco money line.
That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have an ATS record of under 500 as a road underdog.
Over / Under (O / U)
CONSIST Even if Lester’s cracks in the street are terrible and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too long to have much confidence in the offensive.
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