CINCINNATI – Somehow Joe Burrow’s press conferences have become more known for reactions to coughs these days than the actual answers he gives.

For people who actually care about the content of his thoughts instead of viral reactions, an important line snuck into the conversation this week.

He was asked about this stretch of Atlanta, at Cleveland on Monday Night Football and Carolina coming up leading into the bye.

“The three games stretch,” Burrow said, “I think will determine how our season goes.”

From the same producer who brought you, “let’s all just take a deep breath and relax,” and “nobody is panicking” we have this midseason run determining the direction of the year.

Yeah, that’s notable.

Every week feels like it means more in the moment. That’s just the nature of the intense scrutiny on the league. Consider the tone around these parts last week compared to this one: Pitchforks to praises.

In this particular case, it’s tough to argue with Burrow’s assessment.

The failures of the first quarter of the season have put the Bengals in this position. Anything worse than 5-4 at the bye (which would be the same as last year) would offer legitimate reason to wonder if they took on too much early water to bubble back up against a much tougher schedule on the horizon.

Through the first nine games the Bengals will have faced just one quarterback higher than Tier 4 in Mike Sando’s preseason QB tiers. That’s Lamar Jackson.

Burrow was one of six Tier 1 QBs in the league.

After Kenny Pickett or whoever ends up starting for Pittsburgh in Week 11 finishes off the run of unheralded QBs, the final seven games of the year expect to feature every quarterback in Tier 3 or higher.

A hiccup or two over this current stretch and the team will spend much time bemoaning the need to beat Allen and wondering how they lost to Cooper Rush, Mitch Trubisky and, say, Marcus Mariota.

That brings us to Sunday. The Falcons and Bengals looked like very different teams on paper before the season started. On the field through six weeks, you can find striking similarities. Both have won three of four. Both could easily have been better than 3-3. The three Falcons’ losses are by a total of 11 points. The Bengals are by eight.

The primary difference is the expectations the football world placed upon them. Atlanta clearly has deficiencies. The Bengals should be able to tear up a secondary that is both beat up and understaffed. This should be the type of game Burrow puts up monster numbers as you saw last week in New Orleans or during his hot stretch in the second half of last year.

Tradition suggests in this league, that should be enough. Yet, the league is shifting this year. The rise of these power running teams asserting their style back into the winning conversation has been the trend of the year. Atlanta is at the head of that with a line that can run block as well as anyone and diverse run scheme capable of taking over a game.

The number to determine a win or loss will be the Falcons’ rushing yards. Allow them to pound Paycor for 150 or more on the ground and the Bengals will be in jeopardy. Keep it under and this could be one where the Bengals breathe easy in the final minutes for a change.

Attrition up the defensive spine and recent results suggest this will be easier said than done.

I still think the Bengals and Burrow do it. Cincinnati’s red zone defense feels like the determining factor again.

Prediction: Bengals 27, Falcons 23

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) calls a play at the line against the New Orleans Saints during the first half at Caesars Superdome. Stephen Lew-USA Today Sports

On Tap

The Bengals host the Falcons this Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Paycor Stadium — the first 1 p.m. Sunday home game since the opener against Pittsburgh. Makes me feel all warm and fuzzy inside. The game will air on Fox with Brandon Gaudin and Robert Smith in the booth and Jennifer Hale on the sideline. Will be a treat to see Devon and Leah Still back in Cincinnati as Rulers of the Jungle. Leah is cancer-free and it’s such a joy to see a success story that started in such a difficult place come full circle. The way this city and the Bengals’ organization rallied around Devon and Leah in 2014 was one of the greatest storylines involving the team in 13 years I’ve been covering the club.

This Week in Burrow

I wrote extensively about Burrow on third downs and high-leverage situations this year, a major talking point around him as the Bengals offense starts to find its footing.

So, I’ll just say that this section has already been checked off.

I will, however, offer a bit of a deleted scene from the story.

I wanted to dive a little into the importance of Burrow’s knowledge of protections in the piece, but it ended up being one thing too many. But it was pointed out how important his relationship with the gregarious captain Ted Karras has been.

Karras and Burrow have really connected. Partly because of how much Karras just absolutely loves football and line play. That prompted this anecdote from head coach Zac Taylor when asked about it.

“We finished a walkthrough and I heard him talk about ‘Okey Double Bugs’ with passion,” Taylor said of a unique protection call. “That’s the highest level of passion you could imagine about ‘Okey Double Bugs’ and different looks he saw. He wanted to make sure he got his points across. I walked away, those are player moments where he clearly wanted to take it over. He made me feel really good about how we would handle those looks the next day. The (offensive line) meeting ended. It was over. He decided to have another meeting. It’s 8:39 p.m. probably, right before the team meeting Saturday night.”

Quotable

There was an otherwise forgettable play in Sunday’s game at New Orleans that stuck out to me all week. Joe Mixon caught a checkdown midway through the second quarter. As he pushed up the sideline cornerback Paulson Adebo made a flailing attack of Mixon’s legs trying to take him down.

Mixon snapped off a nasty jump cut to the outside that made the entire dome crowd go, “oooh,” in unison. The electric and loud nature of the crowd made it an even more noticeable reaction and Mixon deserved it.

I asked him about it this week and his answer was great.

“I’ll be real, I was running, and I tune everything out,” he said. “It’s literally me focused. I hear nothing. That was one play where I could really hear the whole crowd like, ‘ooooh.’ Then after the play, I was like, ‘Did the whole crowd just say oooh?’ It was a cool thing.”

Sure was. Cool to hear. Cool to watch. And for the Bengals, cool to see coming from Mixon, who struggled to make plays in space the first four weeks of the season. Against Baltimore and New Orleans, some of the old Mixon energy and playmaking has started to show up. He enjoyed his two best games for yards after contact. After only two rushes of more than 10 yards through the first four games, Mixon had four such rushes the last two weeks.

“That’s what I can do,” he said. “If I get the opportunity like that in space, I got to make them pay. When given that opportunity in those one-on-one situations, I got to make it count, no matter what.

“I’ll be honest, if I can get in space where it’s clear as daylight one on one, there’s no question I’ll win 10 out of 10 times. I’m supposed to feel like I’ll win 10 out of 10 times. That’s the type of player I’m capable of being.”

Quotable, Part II

Offensive line coach Frank Pollack is always one for quotability. He offered another on Thursday in reference to left tackle Jonah Williams.

Williams, notably, dislocated his kneecap just before halftime against the Ravens. He played through that pain, only missing six snaps in the “Sunday Night Football” game. Not only that, in Pollack’s eyes he played incredibly well.

“He hurt his knee in Baltimore and he had probably the best half I’ve seen him play,” Pollack said. “He went out and played with a bum knee this last week and played great. I told him I’ll take a bat to your knee every week if I need to.”

No word on the Bengals hiring offensive line consultant Jeff Gillooly anytime soon.

Twitter Question of the Week

@pauldehnerjr I must have missed it, when will Reader be back? They miss him in the worst way

— Doug (@doug_c_67) October 16, 2022

For one, Doug, you are spot on. The Bengals do miss Reader in the worst way. Jay Morrison detailed that well in his story on the struggling rush defense this week. He pointed out the Bengals gave up an average of 86 yards per game the first three weeks at 3.7 yards per carry. In the last three weeks, it’s 156 yards per game and 5.6 per rush.

Does it all direct back to Reader? No. They’ve played more talented rush offenses the last three weeks, but his absence represents a big slice of the pie.

As for when he will be back, his presence on the rehab field and the sideline this past week suggest he’s tracking in the right direction. He couldn’t even travel with the team to Baltimore because they don’t want players lacking in mobility on the sideline in case they need to move to avoid a play spilling out of bounds.

As for a more specific timeline, the probabilities still shade toward a post-bye return. He’s first eligible to come back for “Monday Night Football” against the Browns and the Bengals and Reader are obviously hopeful, not closing the door on it. However, understanding the big picture of the season with an extremely winnable game against Carolina then a bye after, it means Nov. 21 at Pittsburgh is a realistic aiming point.

Stories from the inside

There are two ping-pong tables inside the Bengals’ locker room. There’s an ‘A’ table and a ‘B’ table. When we are in there — typically during the Bengals’ lunch break — there are always games happening on them. Anybody hearing the sound of the balls hitting paddles in the background of our interviews posted on the podcast is well aware.

The two best players on the team are Mitchell Wilcox and Trent Taylor. They are regulars on the ‘A’ table. Their battles are wild. Both standing far back from the table, ripping shots from deep as you might see in Olympics highlights. An idea struck me while watching this and discussing how every team seems to have ping-pong tables in the locker room (that inevitably become some kind of storyline about a loose team when it arrives or a return of discipline when it’s removed).

It’s time to replace the coin toss before games.

Instead, each team sends its best ping pong player to the 50-yard line, where a table and two paddles await. They play a quick game to seven to determine who gets to decide to defer or receive. It’s like when the XFL tried rolling out the football in a fumble recovery drill to determine the winner, just without the injuries.

You’re welcome.

This will be submitted to the competition committee in March.

Degenerate corner

This game presents a spread rarity. This year Atlanta is 6-0 against the spread. Nobody expected them to be as feisty as they’ve been, and it’s shown in the final scores.

The Falcons come to Cincinnati as 6.5-point underdogs.

Considering Atlanta covering every game, the Bengals’ penchant to playing in close contests and neither team losing by more than a score, 6.5 feels like a generous number.

However, there’s not much history to suggest the Falcons’ momentum will continue the trend.

There are eight teams — including Atlanta — that started the season 6-0 against the spread since the turn of the century. Four of them covered the spread again in their seventh games, three did not. Winners include the 2021 Cowboys, 2018 Chiefs, 2007 Patriots and 2008 Titans.

There’s little reason to believe the Bengals would be taking Atlanta lightly considering how the Falcons dismantled San Francisco last week, 28-14. Still an interesting trend to ponder.

Overly researched stat of the week

The Bengals’ red zone defense continues to be among the best in the NFL, currently ranking third allowing a touchdown 35.3 percent of the time. It saved them in New Orleans. The Saints entered that game boasting the second-best red zone offense in football (80 percent) but left just 1 for 5. In a matchup of strength on strength with the game in the balance, the Bengals prevailed.

Meanwhile, Atlanta now comes to town riding similar red-zone success. The Falcons rank fifth in the league with a 66.7 percent touchdown rate.

The difference between the two would be the approach to pushing it over the goal line.

New Orleans threw the ball in the red zone 62 percent of the time prior to last week, ninth most.

Meanwhile, Atlanta has the second-highest run rate among all teams in the red zone at 69 percent.

When those crucial downs take place, look for extra linebackers to end up part of three-down alignment to play tendencies.

Either way, it does play into what has also been a strength of this defense. Of the 40 plays run against Cincinnati in the red zone this year, 15 have been runs. Only one went for a touchdown (a 1-yard plunge by Tony Pollard in Dallas) and only a six-yard sweep by CeeDee Lamb went for more than four yards.

The Bengals rank second in the league in yards allowed per carry in the red zone.

More strength on the strength coming Sunday.

Bengals post of the week

Fans might not think much about the investment in the content team that’s been made by the Cincinnati front office, but for somebody who has been close to that world for a long time, I can tell you it’s a mind-boggling shift.

That’s the NFL world we live in now. Behind-the-scenes video, extra content, documentaries, you name it. In-house content has become valuable to the league, teams, fan bases and the NFL has its arms hugged tightly around its rights.

The Bengals have piled resources of all varieties into that world in recent years and the perfect example was the 15-minute look at Ja’Marr Chase and his family returning home that Marisa Contipelli and Shea Stephenson put together. They were even able to convince NFL Films to help out by dropping a mic on Chase during that game that has turned out to be a treasure trove of incredible content.

Chase was breaking ankles thanks to the return of his grill @Real10jayy__ | @Bengals pic.twitter.com/tcoYa7qcZj

— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) October 20, 2022

Contipelli and Stephenson went to New Orleans earlier this season for background content then were all over the place this past Sunday capturing the sights and sounds of a special moment for one of the premier personalities on the team and in this league.

Just excellent work, impressive hustle, an efficient plan and a perfect example of what hiring great people and supporting them can do for connecting a fan base to its players.

Highly recommend watching the full-length feature (the trailer was awesome, too).

Watch the full feature here: https://t.co/VZs2byry5r

— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) October 20, 2022

Opponent

Atlanta (3-3): Josh Kendall joined HTPG this week with fantastic insight on Atlanta. He also wrote why the Bengals are a bad matchup for the Falcons.

Around the division

Steelers (2-4): Mitch Trubisky, Kenny Pickett and halftime altercations, all the fun is happening in Pittsburgh.

Browns (2-4): Cleveland is ‘headed nowhere soon’ according to Zac Jackson. A man very familiar with teams heading nowhere.

Ravens (3-3): Baltimore’s running game is coming together just in time for a critical stretch.

The Athletic Wormhole

The Christian McCaffery trade to the 49ers was a fascinating one from both sides. First, the latest cautionary tale about paying running backs. As the Panthers basically paid $27 million for six games of an extension. The Bengals will be contemplating this situation with Mixon contract in coming years. These things rarely work out well. In fact, Mixon might be one of the most successful examples and his contract hasn’t exactly been a jewel of the Bengals salary cap situation.

These backs nearly always start to break down and see health situations ruin them. This has been known and discussed at length for nearly a decade now. Yet, teams still keep piling money into the position instead of picks. Joe Person wrote about how that is essentially the legacy of McCaffery in Carolina.

On the flip side, the Rams’ “F— them picks” model shows back up. This time in San Francisco. I’m actually stunned the 49ers would give up the 2023 2,3,4 and 2024 5th for McCaffery. The guy can play. He’s a star, no question. But that is a significant ransom to turn over for any running back, particularly one with injury history. Those are the types of trades that eat at the core of your future. Tim Kawakami wrote an enlightening piece about how this was the 49ers showing their hand about this season.

Dad Life

The first draft of my story about Burrow and his third-down magic this week included multiple Frozen (and Frozen II) references, including an ideal analogy involving an ice palace on the North Mountain.

I eventually decided they all needed to be edited out. As a girl dad, it was a deep cut.

I’ve developed a real appreciation for Frozen and Frozen II in watching it 94 times over the last few years. A Disney tale where two sisters stand up for each other is great messaging compared to “You better get a man and become a princess or you will be cleaning chimneys and organizing the attic the rest of your life” from the Cinderella days.

Equally, Encanto has become the new house favorite around here. My girls are obsessed with it. Again, another new Disney movie with a significantly better message than the early days. The concept that it’s OK not to be perfect and being yourself is all you need is a far cry from, ‘Hey look at this cute deer, bang, she’s dead.’

Unbelievably, found a Disney on Ice Show about Frozen and Encanto together is coming to Heritage Bank Arena. It’s almost as if my girls were in charge of planning this year’s tour. The excitement level will be at its peak come March.

This has also prompted me to go on record with my top five ranking of songs from those three movies because I’ve had way too much time to think about this over the past few years.

1. Let it Go, Frozen: There’s a reason it’s so popular. One of the best individual songs from any Disney song in history.
2. Lost in the Woods, Frozen II: Let’s be honest, this one was for the parents. When all the reindeer show up in true 80s style is a top three moment in the entire Frozen series.
3. Surface Pressure, Encanto: The chorus is incredible. Lin Manuel-Miranda’s style showing up in a big way. Sometimes after dropping the girls off somewhere the phone will revert back to when Encanto was playing before. If it’s Surface Pressure, I let it finish before switching back.
4. All of You, Encanto: Perfectly pulls all the themes of the movie together and the line, “OK, so …. we gonna talk about Bruno?” is one of my favorites.
5. In Summer, Frozen: More Josh Gad in our lives, please.

OK, I feel better getting that off my chest. Hopefully, it makes up for axing my line about Grand Pabbie explaining the inherent danger of magic.

(Top photo of Joe Burrow: Chris Graythen / Getty Images)

The post This Week in Bengals: Sunday prediction, D.J. Reader’s return and Okey Double Bugs appeared first on Los Gatos News And Events.

The San Francisco 49ers are set to make another run at the NFC Championship game. Their team remains primarily the same minus a few subtractions, with Raheem Mostert, Lanken Tomlinson , and Arden Key signing elsewhere. They added Charvarius Ward from the Chiefs to bolster the secondary.

The 49ers went 10-7 during the 2021 campaign. They started 2-4 and went on to go 7-3 to finish down the stretch to make the playoffs. The team has made it known that they are open to trading quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, but he remains on the roster. The plan was for Trey Lance to take over, but he may not be ready, which makes for an interesting off-season battle once again.

Week 1: At Chicago Bears (Win) (1-0)
Week 2: Seattle Seahawks (Win) (2-0)
Week 3: At Denver Broncos (Loss) (2-1)
Week 4: Los Angeles Rams (Win) (3-1)
Week 5: At Carolina Panthers (Win) (4-1)
Week 6: At Atlanta Falcons (Win) (5-1)
Week 7: Kansas City Chiefs (Loss) (5-2)
Week 8: At Los Angeles Rams (Loss) (5-3)
Week 9: Bye
Week 10: Los Angeles Chargers (Loss) (5-4)
Week 11: At Arizona Cardinals (Win) (6-4)
Week 12: New Orleans Saints (Win) (7-4)
Week 13: Miami Dolphins (Win) (8-4)
Week 14: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (loss) (8-5)
Week 15: At Seattle Seahawks (Win) (9-5)
Week 16: Washington Commanders (Win) (10-5)
Week 17: at Las Vegas Raiders (Loss) (10-6)
Week 18: Arizona Cardinals (Win) (11-6)

The 49ers have a tough schedule ahead of them, including a trip to Mexico City to square off against the Cardinals. They will have the benefit of having their biggest non-divisional games at home. The 49ers won four games at home last season, but with a healthy roster, they should be much more improved.

Win total odds: Under 10 (-130) Over 10 (+110)

Pick: Over 10

The biggest question will remain the quarterback position until Lance proves himself as the starter. Garoppolo could still win the job if Lance isn’t ready. The defense will lead the way for the 49ers once again and a dominant run game to help lessen the load on the quarterback. Star wide receiver Deebo Samuel requested a trade in the offseason, but it seems as if he will be back with the team. The disgruntled star expressed how he wasn’t happy with being used in the super back role, and if that role is taken away, it could make the difference in a win of two.

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An underrated WCC matchup goes down Saturday night when Santa Clara travels to face San Francisco.

San Francisco was on the wrong end of a 23-point collapse on Thursday night at the hands of St. Mary’s while Santa Clara won in the final seconds as home underdogs to BYU. Now, they meet as two teams trending in opposite directions.

The Dons look to get back off the mat after a tough, emotional loss, and are laying a big number against Santa Clara, but can they cover?

Let’s answer the question by first looking odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Spread:

Money line:

Total: 149 (Over -110/Under -110)

Santa Clara’s high octane offense can cause some issues against San Francisco, as they are capable of going five out and moving the San Francisco bigs out along the perimeter, opening up driving lanes for PJ Pipes.

The Broncos are 27th in the country in effective field goal percentage and can cause issues for USF big man Yauhen Massalski on defense. The Dons are elite at running teams off the three-point line, allowing a bottom 10 three-point percentage to opponents and also are great at defending the rim, top 30 in the country. However, Santa Clara can combat that with their mid-range offense, they are top third nationally in that metric, per Haslemmetrics.

Of course, banking on the mid-range may not sound like an effective strategy on the road, but given the Dons 67% free throw shooting and the possibility of an emotional letdown following a blown lead, I’m siding with Santa Clara staying close .

PICK: Santa Clara +8, play to +7

All of Reed’s college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 27-36-3 for -11.5 units.

The post Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Prediction and Odds (Wager Broncos to Cowl) appeared first on Los Gatos News And Events.

the San Francisco 49ers (9-7) can secure their place in the postseason with a win on Sunday if they have the Los Angeles Rams (12-4) in the SoFi stadium. This NFC West matchup kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below we look at those 49ers vs. Rams odds and lines, and make our best NFL tips, predictions and bets.

The 49ers have won 7-3 in their last 10 games since the start of the season 2-4 and turned things around completely to get in position to make the playoffs. Her most recent win was a 23-7 win over the Houston Texans in Week 17, a game that rookie QB played Trey Lance started instead of the injured QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

San Francisco has played well in the past few weeks, scoring at least 23 points in seven of their last eight games, and facing a team they have beaten five times in a row.

The Rams have won five straight games since losing three straight games in November. They beat players like the Arizona Cardinals, Minnesota Vikings, and Baltimore Ravens in this section. The Rams still haven’t won NFC West with Arizona just one game down on the table. However, the Rams will be crowned division champions on Sunday with a victory.

49ers at Rams odds, spreads and lines

Tipico Sportsbook odds; Access USA TODAY Sports Results and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete listing. The rows were last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.

• Money line: 49ers +155 (bet $ 100 to win $ 155) | Rams -190 (bet $ 190 to win $ 100)
• Against Spread (ATS): 49er +3.5 (-112) | Aries -3.5 (-108)
• Over / Under (O / U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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49ers in Rams key breaches

49er

• LT Trent Williams (Elbow) questionable
• QB Jimmy Garoppolo (Thumb) questionable
• CB K’Waun Williams (COVID-19) questionable
• LB Azeez Al-Shaair (Knee) questionable
• LB Dre Greenlaw (Groin) questionable
• S. Jaquiski Tartt (Shoulder) questionable

Aries

Let’s make that interesting

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49ers at Rams odds, lines, predictions and tips

forecast

Rams 27, 49er 21

Money line

The 49ers own the Rams lately. They’ve won against Los Angeles five times in a row since 2019, including a 31:10 win in Week 10 of that season. However, the Rams are rolling right now and have managed to win five in a row despite QB Matthew StaffordSales problems.

I like RAMS (-190) to win directly at home with the division title.

Against the spread

The 49ers are 7-3 ATS against the Rams in their last 10 games. They have had this rivalry since Sean McVay took over as head coach for the Rams. However, the 49ers have huge injury concerns while Los Angeles is as healthy as it is all year.

Take the RAM -3.5 (-108) at almost the same money to cover the spread.

Over under

The over / under is divided 5-5 in the last 10 games between these teams. The Under is also this season in the last 10 games for both the Rams and the 49ers 6-4.

With San Francisco’s secondary key figures potentially missing and the Rams offensive moving the ball well – aside from Stafford’s turnovers – I see this game going OVER 44.5 (-110).

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Aiming for a fourth straight win, Elijah Mitchell and the 49ers aim to improve their playoff position when they take on the slithering Seahawks in Seattle

Two rivals to NFC West kick off their December schedule on Sunday when the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks clash at Lumen Field in Seattle. These two teams met at Levi’s Stadium in Week 4, and the Seahawks won that game by a score of 28:21. That game was supposed to be on Sunday Night Football, but due to the Seattle Free Fall, the NFL has postponed it until late afternoon.

San Francisco (6-5) continued its playoff upswing with a 34-26 win over Minnesota last Sunday in style. The offense showed a great balance with 215 yards and 208 on the ground. Elijah Mitchell led the 49ers’ complex rushing attack with 133 yards, 27 carries and one touchdown. Debo Samuel scored two dazzling touchdowns running 66 yards that day. The possession time made a big difference, as the offense held on to football for over 37 minutes, which really paid off in the third quarter. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense with eight tackles and one interception. San Francisco did a great job against the run as well, limiting the Vikings to just 67 yards. Minnesota only went 8-2 down to third, which helped the 49ers defense stay fresh for the entire game.

Seattle (3-8), on the other hand, likely saw its faint hopes of ending the playoffs with a 17:15 road loss to Washington on Monday night. Normally, in a close game, you would expect the stats to reflect an evenly played competition. However, this matchup was not as close as the end result suggested. Washington had 26 first downs and sustained football for more than 40 minutes, playing 79 games that night. Russell Wilson showed some signs of improvement, making 20 of 31 passes for 241 yards and two touchdowns, but those numbers are also misleading as the offense never posed a threat to take control of the game. The offensive line failed to produce a consistent running game as the Seahawks managed 34 yards on 12 tries, which is not good enough.

Although the Seahawks had the option to level the game late with a two-point conversion, they failed to convert and extended their losing streak to three games. The Seahawks now find themselves with the second worst record in NFC.

San Francisco (6-5) in Seattle (3-8)

Kicking off: Sunday, December 5 at 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Spread: 49er -3.5

Three things to see

1. Attack by the 49ers
Head coach Kyle Shanahan’s offensive schedule should be the most stress-free of the season as it doesn’t have to be very complicated. Mitchell can set the tone while the game is in progress by heading for another 100-yard game on Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo will benefit from an effective run attack as he can get the ball to George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk in the passing game. Samuel is a critical part of this offensive but will miss Sunday’s game with a groin injury. This will take away some of the creative aspects of this attack. But with Seattle struggling (giving up a total of 371 yards to Washington, 152 of them on the ground), San Francisco is unlikely to be too badly affected by Samuel’s absence. In the end, the mission for this offensive is simple: play clean football out on goal, and it should result in a fairly stress-free win.

2. The Seahawks’ broken offensive
At this point in the season, there is nothing to lose for anyone involved in this offensive before the final six games. The current offensive approach is more than broken, as shown by the team’s only 10 first defeats in their loss to Washington. To put the disastrous performance even further in context, the Seahawks only delivered three more first downs than the NHL’s Seattle Kraken scored in goals in a 7-4 win over the Buffalo Sabers that same night. The Pacific Northwest NFL team has also scored a total of three touchdowns in their last 31 ball possession, which is overwhelming that this offensive team rivals the 1992 team because of their ineptitude. DK Metcalf got his first reception late in the fourth quarter on the last trip. The lack of targets for Metcalf is the misconduct of the coach and quarterback of Wilson and offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.

Now the overarching question is how to fix it from Sunday onwards. First you need to add more pace and force Wilson to throw easy passes at Tyler Lockett, Metcalf, and the tight ends. The whole deep passing game has to be put on hold until Wilson proves he can regain his accuracy. On top of that, you have to imagine the toll the loss of Trevor Moawad, Wilson’s mental coach who passed away earlier this season, took. It appears to have had an impact on his game as he misses readings like the unsuccessful two-point conversion where he opened Metcalf for a seemingly easy close in the back of the end zone that would have tied the game late.

3. Defense of the 49ers
Patience is the name of the game this week as San Francisco doesn’t need to be complicated against a battered offensive in Seattle. The 49ers must fire up Wilson on the defensive front to get their offensive behind the sticks. That should be happening lately given the Seahawks’ offense and Nick Bosa’s good performance (four sacks in the last three games). If San Francisco can exert constant pressure, it will ease the side issue in its efforts to contain Lockett and Metcalf.

Seattle is so desperate for running back performance that the team has signed 36-year-old Adrian Peterson to the training roster. Don’t be surprised if he is added to the active list by or on Sunday. So if you’re the 49ers, you might as well dare the Seahawks to play the ball. Putting Seattle into an early hole will likely force Waldron to give up again, giving Bosa and Co. more pass-rushing opportunities.

Final analysis

San Francisco has its fate in its hand and currently holds the sixth seed in the NFC franchise. The 49ers definitely can’t afford to miss this chance against a downtrodden Seattle team. The Seahawks have likely resigned themselves to their fate of missing out on the postseason, but additional losses won’t help their draft positioning either (if you like the tank idea) as the Jets own their first round selection next year, courtesy of the trade of Jamal Adams. Seattle still has a lot of pride and this is a division game, a rivalry, so don’t expect Pete Carroll’s team to just flip. But San Francisco will have yet another victory, as even without Samuel, the 49ers have too much offensive firepower to shut down this battered Seahawks defense for four quarters.

Prediction: 49ers 20, Seahawks 10

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Seattle vs San Francisco prediction, match preview, watch it: Sunday 3rd October

Seattle vs San Francisco as you can see

Date: Sunday 3rd October
Playing time: ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Instructions for viewing: CBS
Record: Seattle (1-2), San Francisco (2-1)
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Seattle vs San Francisco match preview

Why Seattle will win

So what is missing? Given its offensive firepower, why is Seattle a fighting 1-2 rather than a dominant 3-0?

The defense wasn’t much fun. Everyone throws without problems – the secondary allowed well over 300 yards in each of the last two games – and Derrick Henry ripped off a monster game in week 2.

San Francisco doesn’t have enough healthy and productive backs to get the ground attack going, and the passing game is workable, but it’s not dangerous enough to worry about.

As long as the passing game downfield in Seattle can fire its shots without Russell Wilson having to hurry, production will be there.

The 49ers don’t take the ball away and give up hasty yards in pieces. Everything should be there for Seattle to use, but …

– College football expert pick in week 5

Why San Francisco Will Win

The Seattle defense was a disaster.

It’s the last in the league in allowed yards, it gets killed at all stages and doesn’t take the ball away enough to matter.

San Francisco may not be offensively scary, but the whole thing works with a crazy mix of things going on to keep things moving. Kyle Shanahan and the coaching staff invent ways to move the chains, but they may not have to be as creative against this D as they usually do.

However, prepare for more Trey Lance and mobility, and make sure Jimmy Garoppolo is very, very thoughtful and embracing the games there. He won’t have to force anything – the O won’t flip the ball, and it won’t this week.

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What will happen

Seattle will push and keep trying to crank the big games to break the drip, drip, drip of the 49er offensive.

It won’t be that spectacular, but San Francisco will group third down attempts, check the clock and score whenever there is a chance of a decent drive – the O is fantastic in the red zone.

– NFL expert pick in week 4

Seattle vs. San Francisco prediction, line

San Francisco 34, Seattle 30
Line: San Francisco -2.5, RPM: 51.5
ATS trust of 5: 3

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Seahawks, 49ers renew their rivalry at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday afternoon

The NFC West portion of the schedule kicks off this week when the Seattle Seahawks (1-2) face off against the San Francisco 49ers (2-1). These two teams, along with their respective fans, can’t stand bases. So there should be a wild scene at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday, as this game will have fans in the stands, unlike the 2020 season.

Related: Top 5 San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Games

Seattle comes into this rivalry game after losing two in a row, a 30-17 decision on the road against Minnesota last week. The Seahawks started well as they did against Tennessee and took the lead 17-7 in the first half. They couldn’t maintain momentum, however, and the defense had fewer than zero answers for Kirk Cousins, who played like John Elway in his prime. Cousins ​​set Seattle on fire for 323 yards and three touchdowns. The Vikings made up for the ball without injured pro bowler Dalvin Cook when Alexander Mattison rumbled 112 yards on 26 carries. Russell Wilson and the offense could not keep their hot start as it was clear that the spectators at US Bank Stadium had an impact on the unit’s communication.

San Francisco should be very angry this week after losing a 30:28 heartbreaker to Green Bay last Sunday night. The 49ers didn’t get off to a good start, trailing 17-0 in the first half, but stepped up their game and rallied to take the lead 28:27 in the fourth quarter. That lead came with only 37 seconds remaining, but there was still enough time for Aaron Rodgers to get the ball into field goal territory to prepare Mason Crosby to finish the game-winning 51-yard field goal on the final play Great game.

Seattle (1-2) in San Francisco (2-1)

Kicking off: Sunday, October 3 at 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Spread: 49er -3

Three things to see

1. Defense of the Seahawks
The past six quarters have been utterly appalling for Seattle’s defense. Last week the Seahawks couldn’t put enough pressure on Cousins, who was released only once and hit a total of four times. That gave him plenty of time to sit back and improve coverage, which he did with 323 yards and three touchdowns on 30-of-38 passes. Seattle also didn’t force sales as Minnesota finished the game 453 yards in 72 games and held the ball for nearly 36 minutes of play. In the past two weeks, the Seahawks have been on the field for 155 defensive snaps while the offense has played 102 games. This is a big reason they are giving up the worst 440.3 yards per game that can’t go on if Seattle is looking to return to the playoffs.

Well with all of these problems, how can you fix the defense in a short amount of time? It starts with Carlos Dunlap II, who didn’t get off to a good start with only three tackles without sacks. If that defense is on the right track, it begins with Dunlap stepping up his game, along with fellow pass-rusher fellows Darrell Taylor, Rasheem Green and Alton Robinson. Linebacker Bobby Wagner can also play a key role in leading this defense on course and moving everyone on this side of the ball in the same direction.

2. Offense of the 49ers
Head coach Kyle Shanahan should be licking his chops on offense this week with his game plan. San Francisco has the option to put everything on the offensive after inconsistent appearances in the first three games. The 49ers averaged 28.7 points and 348.7 yards per game, but the offense had to deal with multiple injuries, especially in the backcourt. Even so, it hasn’t stopped this team from getting off to a good start in the rugged NFC west.

Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has been solid so far, completing 67.4 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and one interception. Last week, first-round pick Trey Lance came in just before half time, scoring a goal on a one-yard touchdown run to finally get San Francisco on the board. Lance has only seen limited snapshots so far, but he’s shown his potential and his skills provide Shanahan with another weapon to use in his games.

On Sunday, expect Shanahan to look for ways to include Deebo Samuel and George Kittle early as the duo could be all sorts of headaches for the Seattle defense. Second year wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk also appears to be settling in after failing to start at the season opener or seeing a single goal. Don’t be surprised if Shanahan chooses lots of intersecting routes down the middle to try to soften up the defenses and set up the running game. After missing with a shoulder injury last week, leading rusher Elijah Mitchell could return, but the 49ers also have rookie Trey Sermon and versatile full-back Kyle Juszczyk as backfield options. However Shanahan works it out, the Seahawks know they will have their hands full.

3. Can the Seahawks offense play a full game?
The first 30 minutes of football have been fine so far for Russell Wilson and Co. in 2021 as they scored 55 points in the first two quarters. It’s the second half where things have stalled, a by-product of the quarterback and its playmakers pushing. This offense must show consistent execution, rather than relying on the all-or-nothing low-percentage ball. By putting together longer drives versus focusing on the quick shot, the offense can help the defense by limiting their time on the field. More time with the ball may also speed up the learning curve for the offensive in the new system under new coordinator Shane Waldron. Against San Francisco, look for shorter to medium passes for Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf, Will Dissly, and others to slow the 49ers’ aggressive pass frenzy led by Nick Bosa. It would also be appropriate for Seattle to try to emphasize as much as possible the wacky San Francisco secondary school, much like Rodgers and the Packers did last week.

Final analysis

The Seahawks have recovered from a difficult start to the season in the past and reached the playoffs. Seattle started 2-0 under Pete Carroll in 2015 and 2018 to get into the postseason. However, these teams had at least one defense that could step up and play at critical moments, while this year remains to be seen. In the fast forward to this week’s game, it’s up to the defense to step up and do their part as the Seahawks are best when they click in all three phases of the game. You’ll be making some incremental strides on defense this week by forcing a turnover or two. But it won’t be enough to win, because the 49ers pull away to victory in the second half.

Prediction: 49ers 31, Seahawks 20

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The San Francisco Giants (58-33) finish their three games in the Busch Stadium with the St. Louis Cardinals (45-47) Sunday. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of BetMGM Sportsbook around the Giants vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis took the win on Saturday, 3-1, on the evening of the set, after San Francisco won the first meeting 7-2 on Friday.

Season series: Cardinals lead 3-2.

RHP Johnny Cueto is San Francisco’s scheduled starter. Cueto is 6-5 with 4.15 ERA (78 IP, 36 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 1.7 BB / 9 and 7.5 K / 9 over 14 starts.

• Last game: Loss, 6-5, with 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 7 K on July 6th against St. Louis.
• vs. Cardinals in the current roster: 177 at bats with a .254 / .318 / .469 slash line, 38/12 K / BB, 9 HR and 27 RBIs.

LHP Wade LeBlanc takes the hill for the cardinals. LeBlanc is 0-2 with 4.78 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB / 9 and 5.5 K / 9 over four starts and nine relief appearances.

• Last outing: Loss, 10-5, with 3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, and 1 K on July 9 with the Chicago Cubs.
• LeBlanc’s pitching peripherals this season are terrible; He rates in the 21st percentile or worse for the hard hit rate, the expected WOBA, the expected slugging percentage, K% and the whiff rate.

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Giants at Cardinals odds, lines, tips and predictions

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 9:19 PM ET.

• Money line: Giants -130 (bet $ 130 to win $ 100) | Cardinals +105 (wager $ 100 to win $ 105)
• Against spread / ATS: Giants -1.5 (+125) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
• Over under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

forecast

Giants 4, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

GIVE ME the GIANTS (-130) for 1 unit because they have an advantage in both start and relief pitching, hit left-handers better than the Cardinals right-handers and there were “sharp” line movements towards San Francisco.

For example, the Giants Hitters rank 11th or better compared to left-handed pitching in advanced hitting metrics like wRC +, wOBA, BB / K, and OPS, while the Cardinals Batters sit in the bottom 10 vs. righties on each of these stats.

Additionally, the San Francisco bullpen is pretty mediocre, but St. Louis ranks last on xFIP, SIERA, and K-BB%.

Eventually, the market is hammering the San Francisco money line, which has resulted in the quota makers raising the Giants’ price by 20 cents against the dollar from the opening price due to their liability to pro-San Francisco action.

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Tread Line / Against the Spread (ATS)

CONSIST because the Cardinals -1.5 (+125) isn’t big enough for me, especially when we get to the party late on the San Francisco money line.

Over / Under (O / U)

Light “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-110) for a third of the unit – if any – because I prefer the San Francisco money line rather than the grand total.

However, there is one suspected “line stop” in the betting market where more than 80% of the money wagered on the total bet is on the over (according to Pregame.com), but the line has not moved.

When we see unilateral action in the betting market, the house usually raises the price of the more popular side so the overall move is alarming despite strong action on the over.

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The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of BetMGM Sportsbook around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series on Friday 5-3 with C Curt Casali fill in well for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.

Season streak: Giants lead 3-2.

LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s planned starter. Lester is 2-3 with 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB / 9 and 6.1 K / 9 with 13 starts.

• Last game: No decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 win in San Diego Padres on Monday.
• vs. Giants in the current squad: 161 at-bats with a .242 / .313 / .447 slashline, 42/14 K / BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB / 9 and 8.3 K / 9 this year.

• Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K on Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• vs. Nationals in the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239 / .288 / .377 slash line, 39/9 K / BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.

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Nationals at Giants odds, lines, tips and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $ 100 to win $ 165) | Giants -200 (bet $ 200 to win $ 100)
• Against spread / ATS: National +1.5 (-115) | Giant -1.5 (-105)
• Over under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

forecast

Giants 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

If you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers, you’ll find that he’s much better off than his base numbers suggest, and he’s due for a solid home breakout.

For example, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB%, and Home Run per nine innings are all better in San Francisco.

However, DeSclafani’s .289 BAbip at home (0.212 BAbip on the go) and 62.1% of the link at home (91.1% LOB% on the go) show that he was simply unlucky in San Francisco.

The opposite is the case with Lester’s home / street splits, as his pitching periphery is much worse away than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus -1K-BB%.

What I’m getting at is this GIANTS (-200) is a fair price I would bet 1 piece on. If your standard unit is $ 100 I’d bet it GIANTS (-200) to hopefully make a profit of $ 50.

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Tread Line / Against the Spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANT -1.5 (-105) for half a unit because we’re paying a pretty high price for the San Francisco money line.

That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have an ATS record of under 500 as a road underdog.

Over / Under (O / U)

CONSIST Even if Lester’s cracks in the street are terrible and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too long to have much confidence in the offensive.

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The San Francisco Giants (45-26) host the Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game series in Oracle Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of BetMGM Sportsbook around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Philly smoothed the streak by beating San Francisco 13-6 as 1B on Saturday Rhys Hoskins showed up, scoring 3-for-6 with a double, two home runs and six RBIs.

Season streak: Giants lead 3-2.

RHP Zach Eflin is on the hill for the Phillies. Eflin is 2-5 with 3.99 ERA (79 IP, 35 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 1.1 BB / 9 and 8.8 K / 9 with 13 starts.

• Last game: No decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 2 K in Philly’s 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday.
• Eflin hadn’t made a decision on a start earlier this season (April 21st) against the Giants with a stat of 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 3 K with a 6-5 loss at Philly.
  • vs. Giants in the current squad: 64 At-bats with a .313 / .371 / .531 slashline, 11/6 K / BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.

Rookie LHP Sammy Long makes his first career start for the Giants. Long has made two relief appearances this season with a statistic of 9 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 10 K.

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Phillies at Giants odds, lines, tips and predictions

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 10:52 PM ET.

• Money line: Phillies +105 (bet $ 100 to win $ 105) | Giants -125 (wager $ 125 to win $ 100)
• Against the spread / ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
• Over under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

forecast

Phillies 7, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES (+105) for half a unit because I like Philly’s First 5 Innings Run Line Price and because the Phillies have an advantage in pitching matchup and market movement.

Typically an innings eater, Eflin has failed to cross the 6th inning in two of his previous three outings after pitching the season with 10 consecutive starts of six or more innings.

Also, the Giants opened up as -160 moneylines favorites but were reduced to the current number, although the vast majority of bets were placed on San Francisco to win. In sports betting, it is a warning signal when the “house” makes the more popular side cheaper.

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Tread Line / Against the Spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES FIRST 5 INNINGS +0.5 (-135) for half a unit. This is the best bet I have on the game as Eflin has played at least five innings in 12 of his 13 starts. So we shouldn’t make Philly’s terrible bullpen sweat.

The San Francisco bullpen isn’t much better either, as it ranks 26th in WAR for the season. So Philly’s hot pounding could certainly intimidate the Giants reliefs.

Over / Under (O / U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for half a unit. The weather forecast predicts winds of 10 mph (10 mph) blowing into the left center and the Phillies have played to over in four of their last five games.

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